Forget the Black Swan: focus on the Rhino
by Miriam Meckel

In the midst of the perfect storm, driven by a global pandemic and the concomitant economic crisis, managers have to deal with an abundance of challenges popping up day to day. “No time for strategy and planning” is a frequently overheard claim in executive offices and boardrooms these days. Many leaders like to address the pandemic as a “Black Swan”. A nice try to excuse oneself from thorough and critical thinking[…]

Continue reading

Covid-19 and the Hazards of Experts
by Rod Collins

One of the most important developments in the field of psychology is the discovery that the workings of human thinking often enable inefficient and sometimes irrational expert judgments. Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky observed that the human brain is a paradox. While it is capable of producing highly developed analytical and creative intelligence, it is also prone to make apparently senseless errors[…]

Continue reading

A wake-up call for humane leadership
by Vlatka Hlupic

This was the year everything changed. A tiny virus, arguably not even a life form, had a bigger global economic impact than the banking collapses a decade earlier. Ways of working have been transformed. Remote working has gone from being a fringe activity mostly confined to globally dispersed teams, to being accepted as the norm across whole sections of the economy. Sectors such as hospitality and aviation have suffered sharp falls in business, furloughed staff and redundancies[…]

Continue reading

Provocation #2
Live with the virus

Might there soon be a medical breakthrough that eradicates COVID-19 from the face of the earth? In that case humankind will declare victory and move on. Or the pandemic might unleash new waves across the world, forcing stricter lockdowns and cratering economies beyond repair. More likely perhaps is that contagion will continue, and the world’s societies resolve to live with the risk in ways they have not considered so far. What will that compromise look like?[…]

Continue reading